Ownership Costs Most Important in 2013 Brazil VOSS

Jon Sederstrom-Final

Jon Sederstrom

Overall vehicle ownership satisfaction in Brazil averages 733 (on a 1,000-point scale), according to our 2013 Brazil Vehicle Ownership Satisfaction Study (VOSS), and ownership cost satisfaction—which accounts for the highest importance weight in the study’s overall satisfaction index—receives the lowest average score among the four measures that are examined.

The 2013 study, based on evaluations of 8,387 online interviews with new-vehicle owners in the country after 12 to 36 months of ownership, evaluates four measures of satisfaction across the new-vehicle ownership experience. In order of importance, these measures are: ownership costs (42%); service satisfaction (23%); vehicle appeal (19%); and vehicle quality/reliability (16%).

Among all countries in which J.D. Power publishes the Vehicle Ownership Satisfaction Study, owners in Brazil place the most importance on the cost of owning a vehicle. In part, this is due to spending a larger percentage of their income on vehicle service and repairs, fuel, taxes, and insurance. Continue reading ›

Internet Plays a Major Role in Brazil’s New-Vehicle Sales Process

Jon Sederstrom-Final

Jon Sederstrom

New-vehicle shoppers in Brazil rely the most on information from their friends and relatives (45%), followed by research on the Internet (43%), to help them decide which make and model of vehicle to purchase, according to our 2013 Brazil Sales Satisfaction Index (SSI) Study.* These two sources are cited more often than traditional information sources such as owners of the same vehicle (27%) or the salesperson or dealership owners (23%), based on our study, which evaluates more than 3,000 online interviews with Brazil’s new-vehicle owners one to seven months after their purchase.

A Little Background about Brazil as an Auto Market

Brazil is the fourth-largest new-vehicle market in the world, behind China, the United States and Japan. The country’s auto market is expected to grow by 3% in 2013 from 2012, when 3.6 million new light vehicles were sold in the country.

In addition to experiencing strong sales and growth, nearly one-half of consumers in Brazil have access to the Internet and nearly 55 million smartphones are in use in the country, which means that information gathered online is becoming a powerful and influential resource for new-vehicle shoppers. Continue reading ›

J.D. Power International Roundtable Provides Future Industry Outlook

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John Humphrey

After a successful 2012, the outlook in 2013 for the automotive markets in the United States and China remains optimistic, according to John Humphrey, senior vice president of global automotive at J.D. Power and Associates. He gave projections for the global auto industry during a presentation at the recent J.D. Power 2013 International Automotive Roundtable in Orlando, FL. Some 500 auto industry members—including dealers, marketers and executives from automakers—attended the one-day conference that was co-sponsored with the NADA. Some highlights from the presentation:

Auto Sales Shift to Emerging Markets

In 2013, the global automotive industry faces a somewhat mixed economic bag; the average GDP of mature markets will grow at about 1.4%, while the world’s largest emerging markets will grow by 5.5%, on average.*

Clearly, the United States and China are the bright spots to watch in 2013 and thereafter, in terms of sales and production potential. That said, there are pockets of overcapacity in the global industry that need to be addressed. In 2012, total global capacity for light vehicles reached 116 million units, against total global sales of 81 million units. This roughly translates to a utilization rate of 70%—well below the 80% threshold that most automakers need to reach to achieve financial breakeven. While utilization rates can vary widely by market—and impact the health of individual industries—the overall rate for the global industry can positively or negatively affect automakers with global operations.

Looking toward the end of the decade, the global automotive industry is plainly being driven by the largest emerging markets. In 2012, Asian markets accounted for 41% of the 81 million light vehicles sold globally—primarily China and India. By 2019, Asian markets will account for 49% of the 115 million vehicles forecast to be sold globally.

Continue reading ›

Global Light-Vehicle Market Grows in 2012 Despite Troubles

GlobalAutoForecasting_imageThe global light-vehicle market remained stable in the final month of 2012 and overall deliveries rose about 5.5% on a selling-day-adjusted basis. For the 2012 calendar year, world vehicle sales reached nearly 81 million units, up from 76.7 million in 2011, which represents a 5.2% improvement.

Particularly noteworthy advances were observed in the U.S. auto market, Japan and in China, while weak sales continued to play out in Western European countries. That region has been dealing with a major financial crisis, severely impacting as many as eight of 17 nations in the euro bloc.

Lower vehicle sales in Europe, which accounts for nearly as many unit sales as the U.S. market, foreshadow a likely slowdown in global expansion to between 2% and 3% in 2013 from 2012—even with China’s growth and gains in emerging markets, according to analysis from J.D. Power’s strategic partner LMC Automotive. Continue reading ›

Entering International Markets: Analysis, Partnerships, Different Strategies

Automotive marketers tend to have a U.S.-centric focus in developing plans and programs even though many are working for multinationals operating in a global economy, according to a panel of auto marketers who presented some international strategies and who discussed what they have learned about international marketing at the recent 2012 J.D. Power Automotive Marketing Roundtable in Las Vegas, NV.

It’s important that a company be very selective when choosing new international markets for entry, which requires conducting analysis to find where good markets are; evaluating the value proposition for each region; and finding partners that your company can work with who understand the culture of that market.

Panelists from four independent automotive websites and a multi-franchise automaker also said it’s crucial to tailor the marketing message to the particular market you are entering, rather than just translating your current marketing message to another language. Continue reading ›

Japanese Automakers Regain a Foothold and Make Gains in Emerging Markets

John Humphrey

After slogging through several years of turbulent times that included a mix of vehicle quality challenges, widespread internal restructuring, and a rash of unavoidable natural disasters, Japanese automakers are starting to regain their footing and reassert themselves in markets around the world. In particular, Japan’s largest brands—Toyota, Nissan, and Honda—are performing especially well in the world’s largest emerging markets—China, India, and Brazil. For example:

• In China—a market where total passenger-vehicle sales grew 9% in the first 6 months of the year to 6.9 million units—Nissan sales increased 18% during the same period (making Nissan the second-best-selling brand in China, behind perennial leader Volkswagen). Toyota’s sales jumped 31% (making it the third-best-selling brand), while Honda sales grew 17% (making it the seventh-best-selling brand).

• In India, Japanese brands by far outpaced their competitors in year-over-year growth. Passenger-vehicle sales in India are up 12% through the first half of the year to 1.3 million vehicles. Toyota sales are up 69% (making it in the fifth-best-selling brand), Honda sales have climbed 85% (the eighth-best-selling brand in India) and Nissan sales are up 160% (making it the 10-best-selling brand).

• In Brazil, where Japanese automakers are relative latecomers to the market, Japanese brands are beginning to acquire market share. Industry sales declined 2% in the first half of the year, but Toyota (up 9%), Nissan (up 30%), and Honda (up 5%) were able to stand firm against this decline—even as a majority of their major competitors saw flat or negative growth. Continue reading ›

Brazil Vehicle Ownership Satisfaction Rises Despite Impact of Higher Ownership Costs

Jon Sederstrom

Overall satisfaction among new-vehicle owners in Brazil, which is the world’s fifth-largest country in population and geographic size, improves by 8 points from last year to an average index score of 751 (on a 1,000-point scale), according to our 2012 Brazil Vehicle Ownership Satisfaction Study (VOSS).

The increase in overall owner satisfaction in Brazil could be partly due to the entrance of more brands in the market in addition to more model choices than ever before. At the brand level, it was the second straight year that Toyota is the highest-ranking brand in the study. Toyota is followed in the rankings by two new entrants: South Korea’s Hyundai and Kia brands. Continue reading ›

Cost of Vehicle Ownership in Brazil Has Greatest Impact on Satisfaction

Jon Osborn

New-vehicle owners in Brazil, which is the world’s fifth-largest country in terms of population and geographic area—spend a disproportionate amount of their personal income on their vehicles, compared to new-vehicle owners in other countries. Vehicle owners in Brazil pay much higher prices to purchase their new vehicle—often twice as much as US owners pay—due in part to taxes. Owners in Brazil also spend more to finance their new vehicles. A typical new-vehicle loan can have interest rates as high as 15% per year. Finally, in addition to the costs of purchasing a vehicle, new-vehicle owners in Brazil are concerned about the costs of ownership—which include maintenance and repair, insurance and fuel costs. In fact, according to J.D. Power research, these owners place more importance on the cost of owning a new vehicle than do new-vehicle owners in many other countries.

Each year J.D. Power conducts its Brazil Vehicle Ownership Satisfaction Study (VOSS) on an annual basis to measure new-vehicle owner satisfaction after 2 years of ownership in four factors: Vehicle Quality, Vehicle Appeal, Dealer Service Experience, and Cost of Ownership. And, according to our analysis, Cost of Ownership accounts for 31% of the overall satisfaction index and is the most important of the four key factors in the Brazil VOSS.

Among the other countries where J.D. Power has published VOSS—Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Mexico, and New Zealand—Italy is the only other market where cost of ownership has a similarly high importance weight (32%) in determining overall vehicle ownership satisfaction. In contrast, Cost of Ownership accounts for just 23% of the overall satisfaction index weight in measuring vehicle owner satisfaction in Mexico and only 24% in Canada. Continue reading ›

China’s Auto Exports: Small but Posting Strong Growth

Marvin Zhu

In 2011, China’s automakers shipped nearly 850,000 vehicles from different harbors in China to other world regions. Exports were up 50% from the previous year and contributed US $11 billion (69.55 billion RMB) to the country’s trade balance, which was an increase of 57% from 2010.

While most of the Chinese home-grown brands are suffering to some extent from declining market share in the domestic market, surging exports might help local automakers to counter this decline, according to Marvin Zhu, senior automotive analyst with LMC Automotive.* Recently, he wrote about how China’s local automakers are making inroads in other countries’ auto markets in China Automotive Monthly, published for J.D. Power Asia Pacific. The article is excerpted:

Some Local Companies are Already Overseas Players

Chery, China’s largest local carmaker, recorded sales of 642,000 units in 2011, down 6% year over year. Its export volume reached 160,000 units, which amounted to one-fourth of the company’s total sales. Last July, Chery set up a US $400 million (2.54 billion RMB), fully-owned factory with a complete production line in Brazil. It became the Wuhu-based carmaker’s 17th overseas plant. While this growth and investment is happening internationally, the company announced it would drastically reduce its investments for ongoing R&D projects for the local market. Continue reading ›

Optimism at New York Show Bodes Well for Global Auto Show Circuit

David Sargent

The global automotive spotlight was shining brightly on the dozens of new model debuts and more than 1,000 vehicles on display earlier this month at the New York International Auto Show. While some of the vehicles shown in New York had already debuted at previous shows in Los Angeles, Detroit or Geneva, Switzerland, many were seen for the first time by the public.

There was an overall buzz at the Javits Center in New York City about the auto industry rebounding to sales levels last seen before the financial crisis of 2008. J.D. Power’s forecasting alliance partner LMC Automotive expects global light-vehicle sales to increase to 79.2 million in 2012, a 5% increase from 2011. All major regions are expected to post stronger sales in 2012, compared with 2011.

Japan is expected to see strong growth with sales of 4.8 million, up 16% from 2011. Sales in India are expected to reach 3.2 million in 2012, up 11% from 2011, while China’s sales are expected to increase 9% to 19.7 million. Brazil’s sales are expected to grow 1% in 2012 to 3.5 million. In addition, LMC Automotive expects 14.1 million new light vehicles to be sold in the U.S. this year. Continue reading ›